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Check out what’s new from NCCI:
Artificial Intelligence and the Labor Market
Latest Quarterly Economics Briefing – Q2 2026
This report examines:
- How technology is impacting jobs
- Early patterns in AI adoption
- What it could mean for the economy and workers compensation
What we know:
- Employment trends in early 2026 appear negatively correlated with AI adoption, while productivity growth has been elevated
- Higher productivity growth has supported both economic and wage growth
The headline: It remains too early to draw firm conclusions about AI’s impact on employment.
The Relationship Between Benefits and Wages
NCCI analyzes how claim frequency and severity vary across wage tiers and what it means for aligning payroll with expected losses.
What we know:
- While alternatives exist, unlimited payroll remains a practical, reliable, and broadly applicable exposure base
- Indemnity severity rises with wages but plateaus at higher levels; medical severity increases more consistently across wage tiers
- Claim frequency generally declines as wages increase, contributing to variability in how benefits scale with wages
The headline: Payroll continues to perform effectively as an exposure base - consistent with prior research.
Demographic Shifts
State of the Line Podcast
In this 12-minute episode, NCCI experts Patrick Coate and Paul Hendrick discuss the aging workforce, new hires, and broader demographic shifts. These experts recently presented at NCCI’s Annual Insights Symposium – here’s what you need to know.
The headline: Demographic trends are top of mind and remain a key driver shaping workers compensation. We’ll tell you why.
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